Project Guardrail: Colorado 2020
One of the top election forecasters recently moved Colorado’s U.S. Senate election from the category of “toss up” to “leans Democratic.” Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan project of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, cited Colorado voters’ continued preference for Democrats and incumbent U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner’s general support for President Donald Trump as reasons for the change.
“This re-election path for Gardner isn’t impossible, but he needs some things to break his way in order to retain his seat. Hence, it makes more sense to look at Gardner as an underdog,” the Crystal Ball concluded.
The forecast noted that Gardner’s 48%-46% victory in 2014 over then-U.S. Sen. Mark Udall came in part from a strong performance in Congressional District 6. Since then, the district has voted in much greater margins for Democrats. The Crystal Ball concluded that Gardner would not likely receive many votes from Democrats in the district this time, “at least not in the necessary volume he’d traditionally need.”
Colorado 2014 US Senate, 2016 Presidential, 2018 Governor Election Results by County
In 2018 Democrat Jared Polis beat Republican Walker Stapelton by 268,087 votes (10.1%) becoming the first openly gay state executive in the nation
Using technology to empower Colorado voters
How we beat Cory Gardner: run up the score
Colorado is steadily trending Democratic, but Cory Gardner (R-CO) proved in 2014 that conservative Republicans can win statewide contests against popular Democrats like former US Senator Mark Udall (D-CO). Hickenlooper can take nothing for granted. A successful Democratic strategy will focus on the following areas:
First, Colorado is a "mail-in only" election which means every voter in the state is proactively sent a mail-in ballot. Democrats must bank as many of these as possible during early/ absentee voting to run up the score in Denver and Boulder County.
Second, Democrats need to maximize turnout among voters of color in the Denver metro area in particular, but also in communities like Colorado Springs and Fort Collins.
Third, Hickenlooper needs to increase his support amongst Millennials. In 2018 they were the single largest cohort of voters in the increasingly progressive state.
Finally, Democrats needs to persuade a significant share of 2016 third-party voters who voted in 2018. Especially, in former conservative strongholds like El Paso County which went blue for Jared Polis in 2018.
TakeItBack.Org and Project Guardrail are excited to lend a hand in Colorado, but we need your help.
We have developed a sophisticated digital marketing and ground game strategy that leverages artificial intelligence to execute impactful programs in key Colorado counties and constituencies
Cory Gardner has an atrocious record on healthcare voting numerous time with Mitch McConnell and Donald Trump to remove protections for 2,400,600 Colorado citizens with pre-existing-conditions.
Gardner isn't Colorado:
This guy wants the job more than he wants to do the job. He is the worst kind of politician because he will sell his political soul and march locked step with the likes of Donald Trump if he thinks it will better serve him – no profiles in courage here.
We used artificial intelligence to develop a comprehensive support system for vote-by-mail and absentee programs in Colorado which has one of the most progressive vote-by-mail programs in the nation. Help us take advantage of it so we can run up the score.
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“Guardrail |ˈgärdˌrāl| noun: a strong fence at the side of a road or in the middle of an expressway, intended to reduce the risk of serious accidents...”
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